Advertisements It wasn't a 12.5% risk for him drawing a rock...it was a 50% chance that anybody on "his" side would draw a rock, and therefore be in the minority of a 5-4 vote next week. Basically, he did not want to risk a 50% chance of losing in order to save Laura. One could argue however that by switching he has 100% chance of being onthe losing side now. He needed to get something from Foa Foa for the switch. Due to editing, we don't know whether or not Russel made an agreement with him to take him to the final 4, etc. for his vote. Russel is in the catbird's seat, but the greatest threat to him would be for the other 3 members of Foa Foa + Shambo to approach him as a group, and demend he tell them who he would vote out when it got down to the final 5 (or 6). That would open the possibility for the 2-3 people on the "bottom" of the totem pole to mutiny. It seems obvious to me that the 4 Foa Foa members have a blood oath to go to the final 4 and that they are simply stringing Shambo along. If Shambo figures this out, she might make a coalition of her own and vote Russ off.