# Survivor Caramoan : OAD 4-24-2013 - "Come Over To The Dark Side"

Discussion in 'Now Playing - TV Show Talk' started by heySkippy, Apr 25, 2013.

1. #61 of 83

### dirtypacmanComing and going

Feb 3, 2004
MA

I thought the picture looked like it was near water not their well. Almost like a vine growing out of the water with a rock next to it or something. Of course I can't remember 2 days later. I would love to see a still of the clue if anybody can do that.

2. #62 of 83

### hfcsyrupMember

56
2
Dec 12, 2012
I spent way too much time analyzing this problem.
I couldnt read the whole thing, and glancing i didnt see it in there, but assuming the host always shows a door with a goat, they really have a 50/50 chance every time. Right???? It cant be 2/3 chance when a goat it shown. CANT!

3. #63 of 83

### SleepyBobWell-Known Member

4,656
539
Sep 28, 2000
Wisconsin
No, because if the host always shows a goat, then the fact that he can't show your door limits his actions and skews the probability.

There are two possibilities for your first pick: you have chosen the car, or you have chosen the goat.
A: If you have the goat door, he must show the other goat. The other door 100% for sure has a car.
B: If you have the car door (ha ha), he can open either one of the two other doors. The other door 100% for sure has a goat.

You had a 1/3 chance of picking the car to start (B). So by switching, 1/3 of the time you will get a goat (B), and 2/3 of the time you will get a car (A).

4. #64 of 83

### newsposterPoster of News

35,616
65
Aug 18, 2002
SE PA
this is a survivor thread, probabilities are down the hall in room 101

5. #65 of 83

### pmyersWell-Known Member

15,283
142
Jan 4, 2001
Gilbert, AZ

I even remember a LONG thread in Happy Hour specifically on it! lol

6. #66 of 83

### pmyersWell-Known Member

15,283
142
Jan 4, 2001
Gilbert, AZ
I found a link to this forum. It's down the page a ways:

7. #67 of 83

### lalouqueQuilter-Cat SlaveTCF Club

2,698
421
Feb 11, 2002
Raleigh, NC
But do you have to make the choice BEFORE he shows you the goat? Because my understanding was that he showed you the goat and then you got to choose if you want to switch.

8. #68 of 83

### dirtypacmanComing and going

Feb 3, 2004
MA

Yeah it was the large group of rocks, (I don't know why I thought I saw water beneath them). So I guess just from where Malcolm was looking he had no idea what he read either.

9. #69 of 83

### pmyersWell-Known Member

15,283
142
Jan 4, 2001
Gilbert, AZ
Yeah..I bet he totall focused on the written clue and not the picture.

10. #70 of 83

### bleenProtein from the Sea

147
0
Aug 9, 2008
Caldwell, NJ
Just watched it - any thoughts on Eddie voting for "Malcom" on the re-vote?

I ask because I have no idea why he would

11. #71 of 83

### Einselenɹǝsn pǝɹǝʇsıƃǝɹ

14,551
167
Apr 25, 2006
He knew how it was going to end and his vote didn't matter so he probably just went with everyone else.

12. #72 of 83

30,032
1,299
Jul 16, 2004
Fairfax...
Did everyone notice how close Andrea and Eddie are getting?

When they were getting the tree mail regarding the auction, Andrea was practically glued to Eddie.

13. #73 of 83

### DevdogAZGive 'em Hell, Devils

58,593
4,324
Apr 16, 2003
Arizona
Yes, I heard that interview plus read another one and Malcolm claims to have spent a ton of time looking for the idol. He says he dug until his hands were bloody. He didn't know where else to look. So the way it was edited with him only digging for a few minutes and then stopping when Andrea showed up was misleading.

14. #74 of 83

### loubob57Cancer sucks!TCF Club

28,986
1,626
Mar 19, 2001
Bedford, TX
Misleading editing? Say it ain't so!

15. #75 of 83

### pmyersWell-Known Member

15,283
142
Jan 4, 2001
Gilbert, AZ
Yet the past two TC's (before this one) she voted to bounce him!

16. #76 of 83

### fmowryWell-Known Member

10,644
90
Apr 30, 2002
Baltimore, MD
Cochran seemed a bit full of himself this time. I don't know that he's as safe as he thinks he is. It was smart of him to buy the advantage but he lucked out that dummy Eddie didn't bid \$500.

I think the lack of face time aside from going crazy and eating pig brain bodes well for Brenda making it to the finale. She's playing the perfect under the radar game but her last time in the game showed she has some killer instinct too.

17. #77 of 83

### DevdogAZGive 'em Hell, Devils

58,593
4,324
Apr 16, 2003
Arizona
Cochran is apparently very proud of how many times his confessional interviews make it on air, so he's clearly playing up the attitude on camera to try and make the edit.

18. #78 of 83

### VegasVicCraps Player

4,279
235
Nov 21, 2002
The Craps Table
Malcolm was just on a local radio station. He's very funny and engaging. And his dislike of Phlilip is quite real lol. He said he survived being with him at the Ponderosa because there was a lot of booze. He said he was hot for Brenda but she had met a guy a month before filming and she wouldn't stop talking about him

19. #79 of 83

### JFriday"Just The Facts"

19,944
1,690
Mar 20, 2002
Bay Area
I'm sure when he's making those he has no idea what will make the air.

20. #80 of 83

### fmowryWell-Known Member

10,644
90
Apr 30, 2002
Baltimore, MD
I wonder how many 1 on 1 interviews they do and how many get cut though. Obviously he doesn't know if his clips are actually getting aired.

While I'd like to think next week will be some great twist, I think with Malcolm gone, we'll be down to voting out whichever one of Eddie and Reynold-s doesn't have immunity.