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View Poll Results: what's your best guess?
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more than $600
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19 |
6.69% |
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$500-$600
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45 |
15.85% |
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$400-$500
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86 |
30.28% |
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$300-$400
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85 |
29.93% |
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less than $300
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49 |
17.25% |
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11-15-2006, 03:12 PM
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#1
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Immer vor der Glotze
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: The Windy City
Posts: 834
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how much will the S3 cost in 18 months?
take your best guess. I'm talking about the lowest price (with rebates and such) for a new S3 HDTiVo right before the 2008 summer Olympics...
__________________
Ninety percent of this game is half mental. -- Yogi Berra
Last edited by peitsche : 11-15-2006 at 03:23 PM.
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11-15-2006, 09:28 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: sunnyvale
Posts: 13,877
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I sure hope it's a lot of money, or else I'll feel even worse -- if I DO end up being reeled in by the lifetime transfer option. They've definitely succeeded at making it very very tempting.
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11-15-2006, 11:26 PM
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#3
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Don't know much
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Maryland
Posts: 579
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If I could predict the future, I would be on a plane to Vegas in a heartbeat.
__________________
Jerry the HT Nut
15 TiVos of some type or the other over time
Tivoless now
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11-16-2006, 08:35 AM
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#4
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Immer vor der Glotze
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: The Windy City
Posts: 834
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Jerry_K
If I could predict the future, I would be on a plane to Vegas in a heartbeat.
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too bad the polling is anonymous...it would be fun to look at this thread in the spring/early summer of 2008 and see who picked the right dollar range... 
for the record, I picked the $300-$400 range 
it looks I'm in the minority so far because most people think it will still cost more than $400 at that time...
__________________
Ninety percent of this game is half mental. -- Yogi Berra
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11-16-2006, 08:39 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 257
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$1000 because of inflation!
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11-16-2006, 08:40 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 286
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Its the whole supply/demand thing. Prices will stay rather high for a while. At the same time Comcast will probably raise their prices a couple of times over the same time span to cover the "extra costs" they incur because of increased cable card usage.
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11-16-2006, 11:40 AM
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#7
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Don't scream.
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Miles away from ordinary.
Posts: 4,449
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I picked over $600. In 2007 we will see it drop by $100, then maybe another $50 at the end of the year. Then they will decide to hike the subscription costs again and ride the wave of all the new HDTV users buying for Christmas who want Tivo service.
Then we get a wave of new users here asking why the HD Tivo is so expensive when they can get Tivo software from their Cable Company...
Then in summer 2008 another $50 reduction, bringing the cost to $599 but with taxes and / or shipping you're looking at more than $600 to get in the door.
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11-18-2006, 02:49 PM
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#8
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Immer vor der Glotze
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: The Windy City
Posts: 834
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by classicX
Then we get a wave of new users here asking why the HD Tivo is so expensive when they can get Tivo software from their Cable Company...
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and that's exactly why I think they will bring the price down a lot more than to just under $600 by summer 2008...
__________________
Ninety percent of this game is half mental. -- Yogi Berra
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11-18-2006, 03:07 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Greenville, SC
Posts: 181
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Hell, you can already get it for like 600 bucks from some online retailers.
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11-18-2006, 05:41 PM
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#10
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Don't know much
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Maryland
Posts: 579
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Exactly $648.73 shipped to my door with a $10 dollar rebate yet to be claimed.
But didn't someone post on one of the other threads that went on for a zillion pages that the cost to a dealer/whatever was $500. Kinda hard to sell $500 cost for under that. Going out of business sale maybe?
__________________
Jerry the HT Nut
15 TiVos of some type or the other over time
Tivoless now
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12-12-2006, 11:14 AM
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#11
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Immer vor der Glotze
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: The Windy City
Posts: 834
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by classicX
I picked over $600. In 2007 we will see it drop by $100, then maybe another $50 at the end of the year.
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it's already down to $649.99 and it's not even 2007 yet...
__________________
Ninety percent of this game is half mental. -- Yogi Berra
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01-05-2007, 05:40 PM
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#12
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Immer vor der Glotze
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: The Windy City
Posts: 834
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__________________
Ninety percent of this game is half mental. -- Yogi Berra
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01-05-2007, 10:16 PM
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#13
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ReplayTV->S3 Tivo
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Middle Tennessee
Posts: 209
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Considering that I just paid $510 from Dell before Xmas, a $200 drop does not seem out of the question...
__________________
CheezWiz
---------------
Tivo Series 3 @ 750GB Green Drive
Tivo HD @ 750GB Green Drive
Tivo Series 2 @ 200GB
pyTivo Windows Home Server @ 3TB
Onkyo TX-SR606 HDMI
Hitachi Ultravision Plasma
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01-05-2007, 10:24 PM
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#14
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Tivo Junkie
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Ecorse, MI
Posts: 516
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since I just bought one for 1250.00 with Lifetime my guess would be the price will drop to 300.00 for the box in a month and then they'll bring back the Lifetime sub for 350.00 about a week later.
I have the worst luck when it comes to buying items right before price drops. if a store has a 30 day price guarantee the price will drop on day 31 for me.
__________________
4 S3s w/Lifetime (all/w 1TB internal)
2 DTS2s w/Lifetime - upgraded to 300Gb/500Gb
S2 w/Lifetime - upgraded to 1TB
Motorola DCT-3416 Comcast HD DVR
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03-07-2007, 09:43 AM
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#15
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Immer vor der Glotze
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: The Windy City
Posts: 834
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I have to say, the price is not dropping as fast as I hoped (even with the current $599 shipped deal from costco.com).
However, I am still fairly confident that by the time I make the switch to HD for next year's Summer Olympics, the S3 can be had for under $400...
__________________
Ninety percent of this game is half mental. -- Yogi Berra
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05-08-2007, 04:13 PM
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#16
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I <3 TiVo!
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 2,245
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I'm guessing $399.99.
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05-08-2007, 04:28 PM
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#17
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 311
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THX devices generally maintain high $$$, and I expect Tivo will have to release a cheap-o non-THX version to go under $400.
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05-08-2007, 04:52 PM
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#18
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O2->CO2 Converter
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: KFME
Posts: 2,624
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by drew00001
THX devices generally maintain high $$$, and I expect Tivo will have to release a cheap-o non-THX version to go under $400.
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They've said as much at CES or during an earning call or something. We'll see if/when/how much...
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05-08-2007, 06:53 PM
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#19
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 139
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There is supposed to be a scaled down 'mass market' version coming this fall right?
So I guess the Series 3 will never be under $500.
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05-08-2007, 07:55 PM
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#20
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,851
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Jiffylush
There is supposed to be a scaled down 'mass market' version coming this fall right?
So I guess the Series 3 will never be under $500.
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Exactly. I think the right answer for this poll would be that in 18 months the S3 will no longer be for sale. I'm not sure Tivo can afford the cost of promoting, stocking, and selling 2 different HD DVR's when the current S3 hardly sells now.
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05-08-2007, 07:56 PM
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#21
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Omaha,NE
Posts: 905
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I think Tivo and the cable companies will make a deal and Tivo will replace the current boxes with S3 and a S2 DT, but with both tuners able to do digital.
ajwees41
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05-08-2007, 08:00 PM
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#22
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Missing a friend :(
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 40,791
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Jiffylush
There is supposed to be a scaled down 'mass market' version coming this fall right?
So I guess the Series 3 will never be under $500.
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It was $499 last month on a Tivo promotion, IIRC.
__________________
Wii: 5166-1365-9840-0899
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Do not taunt happy thread counts.
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05-08-2007, 08:01 PM
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#23
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 40
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by HiDefGator
Exactly. I think the right answer for this poll would be that in 18 months the S3 will no longer be for sale. I'm not sure Tivo can afford the cost of promoting, stocking, and selling 2 different HD DVR's when the current S3 hardly sells now.
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They seem to have done alright with 2 SD DVR's for a while now, so hopefully they'll be able to handle selling 4 different items.
I voted under $300, but I think that's just wishful thinking.
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05-08-2007, 09:46 PM
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#24
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,851
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by IHDB
They seem to have done alright with 2 SD DVR's for a while now, so hopefully they'll be able to handle selling 4 different items.
I voted under $300, but I think that's just wishful thinking.
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The last time I checked they were phasing out the single tuner because carrying two different SD DVR's didn't make any sense to them.
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05-08-2007, 10:09 PM
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#25
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O2->CO2 Converter
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: KFME
Posts: 2,624
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by HiDefGator
The last time I checked they were phasing out the single tuner because carrying two different SD DVR's didn't make any sense to them.
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I thought that it was because they couldn't sell the S2ST with its OTA tuners anymore.
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05-08-2007, 11:46 PM
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#26
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,851
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And yet they haven't introduced a new single tuner SD without OTA.
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05-09-2007, 12:27 AM
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#27
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 1999
Location: Littleton, CO, US
Posts: 1,793
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by HiDefGator
Exactly. I think the right answer for this poll would be that in 18 months the S3 will no longer be for sale. I'm not sure Tivo can afford the cost of promoting, stocking, and selling 2 different HD DVR's when the current S3 hardly sells now.
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Either that, or huge closeout sale due to SDV adaption and/or release of new cheaper model.
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05-09-2007, 12:29 AM
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#28
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Antarctica
Posts: 140
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Convert $100 to Euros, wait 18 months, convert the Euros back to dollars and have enough money to buy the S3 and retire
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05-09-2007, 05:36 AM
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#29
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 40
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by HiDefGator
The last time I checked they were phasing out the single tuner because carrying two different SD DVR's didn't make any sense to them.
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The HD market is a little more segmented - there isn't any reason to sell a single tuner DVR when all of the competition is dual tuner.
However, having a "high end" product that they can charge more for and a "low end" product to compete with the cable companies offerings makes sense.
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05-09-2007, 01:42 PM
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#30
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,851
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by IHDB
However, having a "high end" product that they can charge more for and a "low end" product to compete with the cable companies offerings makes sense.
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I agree with you 100% if the high end market turns out to be big enough to justify the effort involved in also producing, selling, etc. a high end dvr. Today that seems to be pretty questionable.
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