Well, and even if you do plan to upgrade in 2 years, your Roamio Basic with Lifetime service would probably get you AT LEAST $200. Service over two years would cost $360, and as others stated, would break even at 31 months, assuming no resale. I can't see, other than a minor refresh, a new box coming out in less than 3 years. And the past refreshes have been to add bigger drives, more tuners, etc. which doesn't seem like a good reason to upgrade (especially since you are going with a Basic). But yes, each person has to make that evaluation for themselves to determine if it is worth it or not. My issue is when someone comes on here saying that it's never worth it for anyone, because that's not true. The fact is, I DID pay more, almost twice as much, paying monthly on my Series 1 and Series 2, than I would have paid for lifetime service. And on my Tivo HD, had I been paying monthly I would have paid $810 JUST for the service, whereas I paid $500 for the Box AND service, saving nearly $300. Granted, I skipped the S4, and I will probably skip the S6 when it comes out in 3 years.